The jumps season is really starting to ramp up now, and we are seeing a lot of higher-class racing. It is also the transition from summer to winter form, but as the ground is still quick, I've gone for one who shouldn't lack match practice and is still unexposed over staying distances.
This seven-year-old gelding has already struck twice in his four summer runs, but as he only ever wins by narrow margins, he's only 5lb higher than his original success. All four have been at Cartmel, but he is a versatile horse, who has won at Perth, Carlisle, & Market Rasen over jumps.
The horses behind him last time have all run well since, with the fourth winning the other day at Hexham, so I don't see a 2lb rise stop him from being competitive, nor will the slight drop to 3 miles.
Most of the other horses in the race have been on the go, and you know what they are capable of. This lightly raced seven-year-old gelding, however, has only had the three starts in handicap hurdles. It's no surprise he's been put in as the favourite, as the winter form is just that bit stronger. Hopefully he'll need this first run, and he also needs to prove that he wants the ground this quick.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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