A competitive looking 0-125 race, as you would expect, but this one looks worth a go after a break with the stable in flying form.
This lightly raced 5-year-old mare showed her first worthwhile piece of form in three starts since coming over from France, when losing by just under three lengths at Perth. It was a bit of a messy race that day, as they didn't go much of a gallop, and those at the front benefited the most. She also made a bad mistake at the last when coming to challenge, which saw her lose a lot of momentum.
I think the handicapper has been kind in dropping her a pound, as the second and fifth have both won since. Also, the stable wasn't quite firing back then, with an average 10% strike rate for the month, but September has been a fantastic month for the yard with 7 winners from 17 runners (41%), and they were a bit unlucky not to add this with recent runners too.
There is some rain due in the morning, and I'm expecting the ground to be good to soft, which should rule out a few of the others, but this should only help the selection (Her French win was on very soft).
This 9-year-old gelding was only narrowly denied by a winning machine last week over this very course and distance. He gets to run off the same mark, but hopefully the rain will dampen his chances today.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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