This 6-year-old gelding wasn’t exactly setting the world alight when last seen 115 days ago, but I think he was just going through the motions on his last two runs, as they ran him without the customary blinkers, and over a trip far too sharp at 2 miles.
This horse’s most recent run has seen his mark drop down to 99, which was his last winning mark, and he returns to a course where he is unbeaten in two starts. One was off 99, over 2m 4f, and the other was over this 2m 7f trip, but off 94, where he travelled much kinder, and this looks his best trip on this quicker ground.
The blinkers are back on, and the conditional jockey who won on him before is back on board to claim a handy 6lb too, so he’s effectively 1lb lower than the course and disrtance win.
This does look a competitive heat, but there are a lot of positives at the price, particularly as he’s ridden prominently, and the main protagonists are likely to be behind. I recommend going 0.5pt EW (some firms are 5 places), and please make sure that Trumps Benefit has been taken out of the market that you bet in as it could leave a nasty 25p rule4.
I am sure there is more to come from this 7-year-old gelding. He landed a nice touch at Perth after dropping in the ratings, and he won it quite snugly too, so I think the handicapper has been very lenient in only putting him up 5lb.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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