This is quite a scary race to back in because there are so many unexposed sorts in the field, but this one is worth a go. If you’re looking for value, Sky Bet are paying 6 places at 1/5 of the odds.
This 5-year-old gelding has only had three runs under rules and only two of those over hurdles. You don't see many horses making their handicap debut on just their third start, but if you finish placed in your first two races then you get given a mark, and this one has managed that with two third places.
Last time was easily his best performance to date, with how he travelled through the race and his jumping as well. He didn't look to be given a hard time and faded to third late on. But the form has worked out well, with both the winner and second winning on their next start in a handicap (118 & 102).
The selection himself gets to run off 102 here, which could underestimate him, as given his young age, you like to think with another summer on his back he will have strengthened up. I would feel more confident about him if he had a run under his belt, but I am sure there is more to come from him, if not today, then next time.
I'm sure this 5-year-old gelding is likely to go off a short, priced favourite, as he's effectively 7lb 'well in'. Today he gets to run over hurdles off a mark of 84 but is due to up to 91 after winning over fences off 89. But the question remains; is he simply better over fences? I don't think he is, but I can understand why he's favourite.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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