I’m going for an each way bet on a horse who has found success over this trip and ground before. Skybet are the only bookie currently paying four places in the race.
Hurdle winner in Ireland who started life here with a handicap mark of 122. OCEAN VOYAGE finds herself off 93 now on her fourth chase start. She ran her best race in April at Worcester over this trip and ground off a mark of 92. She’s just 1lb higher here after one run, from which she had plenty of excuses, those being the 180-day break (has a record of 00U87P after a break) and a step up to 3 miles for the first time which might not have helped either. She ran in a class 2 hurdle before that, so while form looks inconsistent, there have been reasons for the blips and a return to class 5 is just the ticket.
This horse has form with another runner on today’s card. In that Worcester 2nd place, she finished nearly 11 lengths in front of the well fancied Begoodtoyourself, who has an 8lb swing in the weights. Despite that, the maths still has Ocean Voyage finishing in front and with similar conditions it’s appealing with her being over twice the price of Begoodtoyourself here.
Trainer Ian Williams has had 5 winners from 21 runners over the last fortnight over both codes, a win rate of 21% and has 8 winners from 32 runners in handicap chases this season, a 25% win rate.
Despite what I said earlier, Begoodtoyourself is the biggest danger in my books as he has a 10lb swing in the handicap with the favourite here and runs off the same mark as when finishing 2nd to Rafferty last time. The 3rd and 5th from that day have both won since and it’s surely only a matter of time before he breaks his maiden under rules after placing 5 times.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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