It’s slim pickings out there today but there’s a three-year-old Irish raider who needs to be forgiven a poor run last time. I think he can be as it was a high-quality Group 2 race which is working out well and he drops into Listed company today. At this price he’s fantastic value.
A 70-day break came before the aforementioned poor performance so may just have needed the run. It was also a seven-runner race run at a slower pace than ideal and he will hopefully get a faster pace to aim at today’s much larger field.
Prior to that last run, he was a close-up 2nd of 12 in a Listed race and beaten 1.5 lengths in 3rd in a Group 3 race – he does have form claims here if able to get back on track. He was sent off at just 11/4 for that Group 2 last time, so when I started looking at this race I was surprised to see him priced-up at a generous looking 14/1 (he’s already come in slightly) as this looks a much easier assignment. David Egan is a good first-time booking, his draw in stall 7 is fine, a first-time tongue-tie could spark some improvement, and the Jessica Harrington yard are banging in the winners (Last 14 days: 15-56, 27%).
The advice is a 0.5 points each way bet on ACE AUSSIE and with 15 runners scheduled to take part please try to place your bet with a firm paying extra places on the race. Skybet are the only firm paying five places, while most are offering four (including the 888Sport link below). Please be wary of BET365, Unibet, and Novibet as they are all only paying the first three home which offers little value in a competitive race of this nature.
This progressive Saeed Bin Suroor trained filly has form figures reading 1121 all over today's 7f trip and ran to a career best Racing Post Rating of 107 in a Class 3 handicap last time. She may not have stopped progressing yet and with Oisin Murphy keeping the ride she may be able to take this step up in Class in her stride.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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