I’ve gone for a horse who makes his seasonal reappearance here today, with his yard in sparkling form at present. He ran well doing the same thing here last term, so should go well again today.
Last term he finished a close up 2nd behind subsequent Grade 2 placed Pats Fancy, only beaten two lengths by that opponent that day. Pats Fancy has subsequently went on to compete in four consecutive Graded races since then (a pair of Grade 2 races, and a pair of Grade 1 races). That tells you the yard obviously think something of their horse.
He managed to open his account at the 3rd time of asking, winning a class 3 novice hurdle race at Ascot with any amount in hand and beating Valleres just over 7L. That horse came out and won his next start very cosily, off a mark of 135.
His final two runs of the season were in handicap company and he performed with great credit in both of those events, particularly his final start of the season. He finished a clear 3rd behind Beauport in a Grade 3 novices handicap hurdle race at Sandown, albeit beaten 16L by Beauport, with the winner winning the race by 11L. It still rates a solid enough effort, given the opposition in behind.
He's left on that same mark of 131 today. Going up in trip for the first time (3M). This trip could potentially bring about some improvement, given he's related to the likes of Djakadam, Quito De La Roque and Quel Esprit. All these horses improved for a step up in trip, winning Graded races and performing with great credit over this type of trip (3M+).
The yard have a cracking 25% strike rate at this venue, with their runners here (3-12). If you concentrate on just handicap hurdle runners alone, they have a whopping 40% win rate with their runners at this course, over the past five seasons (2-5). Sire Saint Des Saints also has a cracking 24% win rate at this venue, with his progeny (7-29).
Gets a nice bit of weight off the selection. With his yard firmly amongst the winners, he wouldn’t be a shock winner of this race. With the form of his last run (handicap debut) working out fairly well in the context of this type of race.
The best horse racing tipsters will often suggest the number of points you should stake on each bet. For example, a two-point win, or a one point each way bet. This method can be used for all levels of horse racing bettor, as you decide how much each betting point is worth.
If you start with a total betting pot of £50, each point is worth 50p. If you start with £100, each point is worth £1. Simply divide your total betting pot by 100 to work out how much each point is worth.
Once you boost your betting bank by 50% with winnings, you should increase your point value accordingly. For example, if you build up 150 points, your point value should increase by 50%, so £1 becomes £1.50 and £5 becomes £7.50.
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